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▸ VALUEBrentford — Tottenham Hotspur +9% @coolbetAS Roma — Fiorentina +8% @onexbetReal Racing Club de Santander — Villarreal +6.8% @betfair ex euCelta Vigo — CA Osasuna +5.5% @betfair ex ukCorinthians — Remo +5.1% @betfair ex euBorussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV +5% @coolbet
WhenAllTodayTomorrowThis weekfilters the board + fixtures below
Live board — de-vigged value across today's board · tap a row to open it
SelectionFairLive bestΔ% (EV)DriftBook
BrentfordVALUE
Premier League · Brentford — Tottenham Hotspur
2.392.60 ▲ +9.0% coolbet ↗
FiorentinaVALUE
Serie A · AS Roma — Fiorentina
6.206.70 ▲ +8.0% onexbet ↗
Real Racing Club de SantanderVALUE
La Liga · Real Racing Club de Santander — Villarreal
3.183.40 ▲ +6.8% betfair ex eu ↗
CA OsasunaVALUE
La Liga · Celta Vigo — CA Osasuna
3.894.10 ▲ +5.5% betfair ex uk ↗
RemoVALUE
Brazil Série A · Corinthians — Remo
6.857.20 ▲ +5.1% betfair ex eu ↗
Hamburger SVVALUE
Bundesliga · Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV
9.5310.00 ▲ +5.0% coolbet ↗
Real SociedadVALUE
La Liga · Real Madrid — Real Sociedad
7.698.00 ▲ +4.1% leovegas se ↗
FulhamVALUE
Premier League · Fulham — Chelsea
3.133.25 ▲ +4.0% williamhill ↗
Prediction markets Polymarket vs sportsbooks · World Cup winner · keylesswhere the two markets disagree = edge
TeamPolymarketBest bookBookΔ% (EV)
Argentina19%5.50 (18%)betfair ex eu▲ +3.1%
France38%2.62 (38%)betfair ex eu▲ +0.2%
England21%4.50 (22%)betfair ex eu▼ -4.8%
Spain20%4.60 (22%)betfair ex eu▼ -8.2%
Rolling xG fraud-detector · WC + MLSteam tiers →
BACKSeattle Sounders
MLS · goals 1 vs xG 2.1 (-1.1/g) · xGΔ +0.18
FADESan Jose Earthquakes
MLS · goals 2.33 vs xG 1.52 (+0.82/g) · xGΔ -1.11
FADESt. Louis City
MLS · goals 2 vs xG 1.2 (+0.8/g) · xGΔ +0.21
FADEMexico
World Cup · goals 2.33 vs xG 1.54 (+0.79/g) · xGΔ +0.61
FADEChicago Fire
MLS · goals 2.33 vs xG 1.71 (+0.62/g) · xGΔ +0.7
BACKPortugal
World Cup · goals 0.67 vs xG 1.25 (-0.58/g) · xGΔ -0.33
Correlated combos SGP · win × scorer · our fair price
SGP fair prices build from World Cup props + 1X2 — appear when both are live for a match.
Post-match — settled vs actual CLV on tracked linesAPI-Football
MatchMarketLineActualResultCLV
Orgryte IS 4-3 BK HackenÖrgryte IS5.901 HIT-9.2%
Mjallby AIF 1-2 AIK StockholmAIK3.902 HIT+14.7%