WhenAllTodayTomorrowThis weekfilters the board + fixtures below
Live board — de-vigged value across today's board · tap a row to open it
| Selection | Fair | Live best | Δ% (EV) | Drift | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiorentinaVALUE Serie A · AS Roma — Fiorentina |
6.20 | 6.70 | ▲ +8.0% | onexbet ↗ | |
| SantosVALUE Brazil Série A · Botafogo — Santos |
3.71 | 4.00 | ▲ +7.8% | betfair ex uk ↗ | |
| Västerås SKVALUE Allsvenskan · Mjällby AIF — Västerås SK |
3.90 | 4.20 | ▲ +7.6% | unibet se ↗ | |
| Real Racing Club de SantanderVALUE La Liga · Real Racing Club de Santander — Villarreal |
3.18 | 3.40 | ▲ +6.8% | betfair ex eu ↗ | |
| DrawVALUE Eliteserien · Sandefjord — HamKam |
4.72 | 5.00 | ▲ +5.8% | tipico de ↗ | |
| CA OsasunaVALUE La Liga · Celta Vigo — CA Osasuna |
3.89 | 4.10 | ▲ +5.5% | betfair ex uk ↗ | |
| Hamburger SVVALUE Bundesliga · Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV |
9.53 | 10.00 | ▲ +5.0% | coolbet ↗ | |
| FC Atert BissenVALUE UCL Qualifying · FC Atert Bissen — Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag |
2.79 | 2.90 | ▲ +4.1% | sport888 ↗ |
Value outliers de-vigged edge · best of 43
+8.0%AS Roma — Fiorentina
Serie A · onexbet · 6.7 vs fair 6.204
+7.8%Botafogo — Santos
Brazil Série A · betfair ex uk · 4 vs fair 3.709
+7.6%Mjällby AIF — Västerås SK
Allsvenskan · unibet se · 4.2 vs fair 3.905
+6.8%Real Racing Club de Santander — Villarreal
La Liga · betfair ex eu · 3.4 vs fair 3.183
+5.8%Draw · Sandefjord — HamKam
Eliteserien · tipico de · 5 vs fair 4.725
+5.5%Celta Vigo — CA Osasuna
La Liga · betfair ex uk · 4.1 vs fair 3.887
+5.0%Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV
Bundesliga · coolbet · 10 vs fair 9.526
+4.1%FC Atert Bissen — Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag
UCL Qualifying · sport888 · 2.9 vs fair 2.787
Props just dropped World Cup · de-vig vs Betfair/Pinnacleall props →
+9.1%Alex Grimaldo
Anytime scorer · France — Spain · williamhill 12.00
+4.3%Marcos Llorente
Anytime scorer · France — Spain · williamhill 12.00
Prediction markets Polymarket vs sportsbooks · World Cup winner · keylesswhere the two markets disagree = edge
| Team | Polymarket | Best book | Book | Δ% (EV) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 19% | 5.60 (18%) | betfair ex eu | ▲ +6.1% |
| France | 39% | 2.56 (39%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -0.5% |
| England | 22% | 4.50 (22%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -3% |
| Spain | 20% | 4.70 (21%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -5.8% |
Rolling xG fraud-detector · WC + MLSteam tiers →
FADEBelgium
World Cup · goals 3.33 vs xG 2.01 (+1.33/g) · xGΔ +1.02
FADEMexico
World Cup · goals 2.33 vs xG 1.54 (+0.79/g) · xGΔ +0.61
BACKPortugal
World Cup · goals 0.67 vs xG 1.25 (-0.58/g) · xGΔ -0.33
FADEUSA
World Cup · goals 1.67 vs xG 1.23 (+0.44/g) · xGΔ -0.54
Correlated combos SGP · win × scorer · our fair price
SGP fair prices build from World Cup props + 1X2 — appear when both are live for a match.
Fixtures next up · tap to open
Post-match — settled vs actual CLV on tracked linesAPI-Football
| Match | Market | Line | Actual | Result | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasteras SK FK 2-0 Degerfors IF | Degerfors IF | 4.10 | 1 | MISS | +2.5% |
| Malmo FF 4-0 IFK Goteborg | IFK Goteborg | 4.30 | 1 | MISS | +2.4% |
| Orgryte IS 4-3 BK Hacken | Örgryte IS | 5.90 | 1 | HIT | -9.2% |
| Mjallby AIF 1-2 AIK Stockholm | AIK | 3.90 | 2 | HIT | +14.7% |