WhenAllTodayTomorrowThis weekfilters the board + fixtures below
Live board — de-vigged value across today's board · tap a row to open it
| Selection | Fair | Live best | Δ% (EV) | Drift | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de SantanderVALUE La Liga · Real Racing Club de Santander — Villarreal |
3.18 | 3.45 | ▲ +8.4% | betfair ex eu ↗ | |
| Degerfors IFVALUE Allsvenskan · Hammarby IF — Degerfors IF |
11.15 | 12.00 | ▲ +7.6% | unibet se ↗ | |
| Halmstads BKVALUE Allsvenskan · Djurgardens IF — Halmstads BK |
13.06 | 14.00 | ▲ +7.2% | nordicbet ↗ | |
| SantosVALUE Brazil Série A · Botafogo — Santos |
3.73 | 4.00 | ▲ +7.2% | betfair ex uk ↗ | |
| LeónVALUE Liga MX · Tijuana — León |
3.06 | 3.23 | ▲ +5.6% | onexbet ↗ | |
| IF ElfsborgVALUE Allsvenskan · IF Elfsborg — IK Sirius |
3.41 | 3.60 | ▲ +5.4% | coolbet ↗ | |
| CA OsasunaVALUE La Liga · Celta Vigo — CA Osasuna |
3.89 | 4.10 | ▲ +5.5% | betfair ex uk ↗ | |
| FK VardarVALUE UCL Qualifying · KuPS Kuopio — FK Vardar |
4.65 | 4.90 | ▲ +5.3% | unibet nl ↗ |
Value outliers de-vigged edge · best of 43
+8.4%Real Racing Club de Santander — Villarreal
La Liga · betfair ex eu · 3.45 vs fair 3.183
+7.6%Hammarby IF — Degerfors IF
Allsvenskan · unibet se · 12 vs fair 11.152
+7.2%Djurgardens IF — Halmstads BK
Allsvenskan · nordicbet · 14 vs fair 13.059
+7.2%Botafogo — Santos
Brazil Série A · betfair ex uk · 4 vs fair 3.731
+5.6%Tijuana — León
Liga MX · onexbet · 3.23 vs fair 3.059
+5.4%IF Elfsborg — IK Sirius
Allsvenskan · coolbet · 3.6 vs fair 3.414
+5.5%Celta Vigo — CA Osasuna
La Liga · betfair ex uk · 4.1 vs fair 3.887
+5.3%KuPS Kuopio — FK Vardar
UCL Qualifying · unibet nl · 4.9 vs fair 4.654
Prediction markets Polymarket vs sportsbooks · World Cup winner · keylesswhere the two markets disagree = edge
| Team | Polymarket | Best book | Book | Δ% (EV) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 17% | 5.80 (17%) | betfair ex eu | ▲ +1.2% |
| France | 39% | 2.52 (40%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -2.1% |
| England | 22% | 4.50 (22%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -3% |
| Spain | 21% | 4.60 (22%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -4.6% |
Rolling xG fraud-detector · WC + MLSteam tiers →
FADESan Diego
MLS · goals 3.33 vs xG 1.77 (+1.57/g) · xGΔ -0.48
BACKSeattle Sounders
MLS · goals 1 vs xG 2.1 (-1.1/g) · xGΔ +0.18
FADEReal Salt Lake
MLS · goals 2 vs xG 0.94 (+1.06/g) · xGΔ +0.05
FADEMexico
World Cup · goals 2.33 vs xG 1.54 (+0.79/g) · xGΔ +0.61
FADEEngland
World Cup · goals 2.33 vs xG 1.72 (+0.62/g) · xGΔ +0.61
BACKPortugal
World Cup · goals 0.67 vs xG 1.25 (-0.58/g) · xGΔ -0.33
Correlated combos SGP · win × scorer · our fair price
SGP fair prices build from World Cup props + 1X2 — appear when both are live for a match.
Fixtures next up · tap to open
Post-match — settled vs actual CLV on tracked linesAPI-Football
| Match | Market | Line | Actual | Result | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Brommapojkarna 1-2 Sirius | IF Brommapojkarna | 5.10 | 2 | MISS | -7.3% |
| Gais 1-0 IF Elfsborg | GAIS | 2.00 | 1 | HIT | +7% |
| Vasteras SK FK 2-0 Degerfors IF | Degerfors IF | 4.10 | 1 | MISS | +2.5% |
| Malmo FF 4-0 IFK Goteborg | IFK Goteborg | 4.30 | 1 | MISS | +2.4% |
| Orgryte IS 4-3 BK Hacken | Örgryte IS | 5.90 | 1 | HIT | -9.2% |
| Mjallby AIF 1-2 AIK Stockholm | AIK | 3.90 | 2 | HIT | +14.7% |