WhenAllTodayTomorrowThis weekfilters the board + fixtures below
Live board — de-vigged value across today's board · tap a row to open it
| Selection | Fair | Live best | Δ% (EV) | Drift | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiorentinaVALUE Serie A · AS Roma — Fiorentina |
6.20 | 6.70 | ▲ +8.0% | onexbet ↗ | |
| Real Racing Club de SantanderVALUE La Liga · Real Racing Club de Santander — Villarreal |
3.18 | 3.40 | ▲ +6.8% | betfair ex eu ↗ | |
| Los Angeles FCVALUE MLS · LA Galaxy — Los Angeles FC |
2.44 | 2.60 | ▲ +6.5% | leovegas se ↗ | |
| Halmstads BKVALUE Allsvenskan · Djurgardens IF — Halmstads BK |
12.70 | 13.50 | ▲ +6.3% | betfair ex uk ↗ | |
| CA OsasunaVALUE La Liga · Celta Vigo — CA Osasuna |
3.89 | 4.10 | ▲ +5.5% | betfair ex uk ↗ | |
| RemoVALUE Brazil Série A · Corinthians — Remo |
6.85 | 7.20 | ▲ +5.1% | betfair ex eu ↗ | |
| VfB StuttgartVALUE Bundesliga · Bayern Munich — VfB Stuttgart |
8.88 | 9.30 | ▲ +4.7% | nordicbet ↗ | |
| Real SociedadVALUE La Liga · Real Madrid — Real Sociedad |
7.69 | 8.00 | ▲ +4.1% | leovegas se ↗ |
Value outliers de-vigged edge · best of 40
+8.0%AS Roma — Fiorentina
Serie A · onexbet · 6.7 vs fair 6.204
+6.8%Real Racing Club de Santander — Villarreal
La Liga · betfair ex eu · 3.4 vs fair 3.183
+6.5%LA Galaxy — Los Angeles FC
MLS · leovegas se · 2.6 vs fair 2.441
+6.3%Djurgardens IF — Halmstads BK
Allsvenskan · betfair ex uk · 13.5 vs fair 12.699
+5.5%Celta Vigo — CA Osasuna
La Liga · betfair ex uk · 4.1 vs fair 3.887
+5.1%Corinthians — Remo
Brazil Série A · betfair ex eu · 7.2 vs fair 6.849
+4.7%Bayern Munich — VfB Stuttgart
Bundesliga · nordicbet · 9.3 vs fair 8.882
+4.1%Real Madrid — Real Sociedad
La Liga · leovegas se · 8 vs fair 7.687
Props just dropped World Cup · de-vig vs Betfair/Pinnacleall props →
+14.3%William Saliba
Anytime scorer · France — Spain · onexbet 12.00
Prediction markets Polymarket vs sportsbooks · World Cup winner · keylesswhere the two markets disagree = edge
| Team | Polymarket | Best book | Book | Δ% (EV) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 39% | 2.62 (38%) | betfair ex eu | ▲ +1.3% |
| Argentina | 19% | 5.30 (19%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -0.1% |
| England | 21% | 4.50 (22%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -5.7% |
| Spain | 20% | 4.60 (22%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -8.2% |
Rolling xG fraud-detector · WC + MLSteam tiers →
FADEBelgium
World Cup · goals 3.33 vs xG 2.01 (+1.33/g) · xGΔ +1.02
FADEMexico
World Cup · goals 2.33 vs xG 1.54 (+0.79/g) · xGΔ +0.61
BACKFrance
World Cup · goals 2 vs xG 2.77 (-0.77/g) · xGΔ +2.46
BACKPortugal
World Cup · goals 0.67 vs xG 1.25 (-0.58/g) · xGΔ -0.33
FADEUSA
World Cup · goals 1.67 vs xG 1.23 (+0.44/g) · xGΔ -0.54
Correlated combos SGP · win × scorer · our fair price
SGP fair prices build from World Cup props + 1X2 — appear when both are live for a match.
Fixtures next up · tap to open
Post-match — settled vs actual CLV on tracked linesAPI-Football
| Match | Market | Line | Actual | Result | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orgryte IS 4-3 BK Hacken | Örgryte IS | 5.90 | 1 | HIT | -9.2% |
| Mjallby AIF 1-2 AIK Stockholm | AIK | 3.90 | 2 | HIT | +14.7% |