WhenAllTodayTomorrowThis weekfilters the board + fixtures below
Live board — de-vigged value across today's board · tap a row to open it
| Selection | Fair | Live best | Δ% (EV) | Drift | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Atert BissenVALUE UCL Qualifying · FC Atert Bissen — Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag |
2.64 | 2.90 | ▲ +9.7% | sport888 ↗ | |
| SantosVALUE Brazil Série A · Botafogo — Santos |
3.73 | 4.00 | ▲ +7.2% | betfair ex uk ↗ | |
| Real Racing Club de SantanderVALUE La Liga · Real Racing Club de Santander — Villarreal |
3.18 | 3.40 | ▲ +6.8% | betfair ex eu ↗ | |
| Halmstads BKVALUE Allsvenskan · Djurgardens IF — Halmstads BK |
13.12 | 14.00 | ▲ +6.7% | unibet se ↗ | |
| CA OsasunaVALUE La Liga · Celta Vigo — CA Osasuna |
3.89 | 4.10 | ▲ +5.5% | betfair ex uk ↗ | |
| Hamburger SVVALUE Bundesliga · Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV |
9.53 | 10.00 | ▲ +5.0% | coolbet ↗ | |
| IF ElfsborgVALUE Allsvenskan · IF Elfsborg — IK Sirius |
3.31 | 3.45 | ▲ +4.2% | unibet se ↗ | |
| Real SociedadVALUE La Liga · Real Madrid — Real Sociedad |
7.69 | 8.00 | ▲ +4.1% | leovegas se ↗ |
Value outliers de-vigged edge · best of 43
+9.7%FC Atert Bissen — Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag
UCL Qualifying · sport888 · 2.9 vs fair 2.644
+7.2%Botafogo — Santos
Brazil Série A · betfair ex uk · 4 vs fair 3.731
+6.8%Real Racing Club de Santander — Villarreal
La Liga · betfair ex eu · 3.4 vs fair 3.183
+6.7%Djurgardens IF — Halmstads BK
Allsvenskan · unibet se · 14 vs fair 13.121
+5.5%Celta Vigo — CA Osasuna
La Liga · betfair ex uk · 4.1 vs fair 3.887
+5.0%Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV
Bundesliga · coolbet · 10 vs fair 9.526
+4.2%IF Elfsborg — IK Sirius
Allsvenskan · unibet se · 3.45 vs fair 3.31
+4.1%Real Madrid — Real Sociedad
La Liga · leovegas se · 8 vs fair 7.687
Props just dropped World Cup · de-vig vs Betfair/Pinnacleall props →
+10.0%Aurelien Tchouameni
Anytime scorer · France — Spain · williamhill 11.00
+9.1%Alex Grimaldo
Anytime scorer · France — Spain · williamhill 12.00
Prediction markets Polymarket vs sportsbooks · World Cup winner · keylesswhere the two markets disagree = edge
| Team | Polymarket | Best book | Book | Δ% (EV) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 19% | 5.70 (18%) | betfair ex eu | ▲ +5.7% |
| France | 39% | 2.56 (39%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -0.5% |
| England | 22% | 4.40 (23%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -5.2% |
| Spain | 20% | 4.60 (22%) | betfair ex eu | ▼ -7.8% |
Rolling xG fraud-detector · WC + MLSteam tiers →
FADENashville SC
MLS · goals 2.67 vs xG 0.59 (+2.08/g) · xGΔ -0.78
FADEBelgium
World Cup · goals 3.33 vs xG 2.01 (+1.33/g) · xGΔ +1.02
BACKPortugal
World Cup · goals 0.67 vs xG 1.25 (-0.58/g) · xGΔ -0.33
BACKLos Angeles FC
MLS · goals 1.33 vs xG 1.9 (-0.57/g) · xGΔ +0.67
BACKHouston Dynamo
MLS · goals 0.67 vs xG 1.15 (-0.48/g) · xGΔ -0.15
FADEColumbus Crew
MLS · goals 1.67 vs xG 1.2 (+0.46/g) · xGΔ -0.58
Correlated combos SGP · win × scorer · our fair price
SGP fair prices build from World Cup props + 1X2 — appear when both are live for a match.
Fixtures next up · tap to open
Post-match — settled vs actual CLV on tracked linesAPI-Football
| Match | Market | Line | Actual | Result | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Brommapojkarna 1-2 Sirius | IF Brommapojkarna | 5.10 | 2 | MISS | -7.3% |
| Gais 1-0 IF Elfsborg | GAIS | 2.00 | 1 | HIT | +7% |
| Vasteras SK FK 2-0 Degerfors IF | Degerfors IF | 4.10 | 1 | MISS | +2.5% |
| Malmo FF 4-0 IFK Goteborg | IFK Goteborg | 4.30 | 1 | MISS | +2.4% |
| Orgryte IS 4-3 BK Hacken | Örgryte IS | 5.90 | 1 | HIT | -9.2% |
| Mjallby AIF 1-2 AIK Stockholm | AIK | 3.90 | 2 | HIT | +14.7% |