Props scanner — player goals, shots & the soft numbers
World Cup player props across 4 books: anytime scorer is de-vigged against the sharp line (Betfair Exchange / Pinnacle) and ranked by edge (flagged at EV ≥ +3%). Shots/SoT/assists are Over-only with no sharp anchor → market reference. Domestic (Allsvenskan/MLS) via bet365: single-book reference (anytime line + implied %), no EV until we have a second source. No fabricated numbers.
Market
AllGoals / scorerCardsShots on targetShotsAssists
LeagueAllWorld Cup
EdgeMin EV +3.0%
Sort EV% ↓
| # | Selection | Market | Match | Line | Best | Book | Fair | EV% | ¼-K | Age |
|---|
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flagged ≥ +3%
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top edge
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priced scorers
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dropped < 30m
Props just dropped market-release radar
How the edge is read
Fair = sharp de-vigged line (Betfair Exchange primary, Pinnacle fallback). Value must come from a soft book beating it.
EV% = fair-prob × best-odds − 1. Green = flagged (≥ +3%).
¼-K = quarter-Kelly stake in units (100u bank).
ref = shots/SoT/assists: Over-only, no sharp anchor → best price shown, no EV. 1-book = domestic bet365 line, no EV.
Age = time since we first saw the market. Red = fresh (<30m), first-mover window.